“Putin invades Russia” and other examples of Biden’s stammering on the world stage, should worry anyone concerned about the future of the freedom-loving world. But many people seem to have gotten used to the new norm of a President fumbling and mumbling through his 1st term.
Make no mistake about it. There are many of the most important voters – the ones who switch from Republican to Democrat, or vice versa – who won’t say it out loud. But they will simply not vote for Biden again. They feel stupid for placing an over-the-hill person in the Oval Office.
Democrat and Republican pollsters know this. That is why the biggest issue in the Democrat Party is Kamala Harris, and the biggest issue in the Republican Party is also Kamala Harris. How Joe Biden will gracefully or non-gracefully walk away from the leadership of the Democrat Party is not the big issue. The big issue is whether or not the mantle will be gracefully handed to Kamala Harris. Or, will a real battle ensue for the future leadership of the party in the upcoming primary season.
Only Robert Kennedy has thrown his hat into the ring. But anyone else who is considering a run is noticing that Kennedy is nearly at 20%. And Kennedy is not, by any stretch of the imagination, a typical candidate for the leadership of the Democrat Party. That means that there is lots of room for a new candidate, especially an outsider. If no outsider decides to jump in, Gavin Newsom may toss his hat into the ring. Then, the powers that be in the Democrat Party will have to choose between Kamala or Gavin Newsom. Odds are that they will choose Kamala.
That is why the critical decision on the Republican end must be who has the best chance of beating Kamala Harris. That may sound like a simple question. But it is not. Although Ron DeSantis would probably perform better with suburban women based on his temperament, his opinions on abortion are a major turn-off to many of them. They are a predominantly pro-choice demographic. Donald Trump has the rare ability to turn off many moderate Republican voters, yet bring outsiders to the polls who would otherwise just skip the elections. So, it is really not clear what will happen on the Republican side of the aisle.
But despite the amazing story of Joe Biden lasting this long in the Presidency, it would be a massive surprise if he actually even becomes a real candidate in the 2024 election, let alone makes it to the finish line.